Aetherix
Covers expected: 101
Why 101: usual level 87; hotel 98% full +9, New Year's Day +8, season +7, weather −6; other factors −4.
High confidence: 94–109 covers on 4 nights out of 5.
Staffing: 7 servers, 2 hosts, 3 runners, 5 kitchen staff, on the hotel's own rules (usual night: 5, 2, 2, 3).
Why 101? ›
- Usual level
- 87
- Hotel 98% full
- +9
- New Year's Day
- +8
- Season
- +7
- Poor weather
- −6
- Thursday
- −3
- No local event
- −1
- Forecast
- 101
The range is the model's 80% interval. It is 15 covers wide, 15% of the forecast. Under 20% earns the engine's top rating, 0.9. The rating measures how tight the range is; it is not a probability.
The hotel's own rules: 1 server per 15 covers, 1 host per 60 covers, 1 runner per 45 covers, 1 kitchen staff member per 25 covers, rounded up.
2026-01-01 · evening before
F&B ManagerI'd say 79 covers instead.
modifiedThe simulated manager averages the last 4 Thursdays: 69, 81, 72 and 95.
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